alk-20230420
0000766421false00007664212023-04-202023-04-20



UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, DC 20549


FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT
TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

April 20, 2023
(Date of earliest event reported)

ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.
(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Delaware
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)
1-895791-1292054
(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)
19300 International BoulevardSeattleWashington98188
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)(Zip Code)

(206) 392-5040
(Registrant's Telephone Number, Including Area Code)
(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

      Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

      Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

      Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

      Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each classTicker SymbolName of each exchange on which registered
Common stock, $0.01 par value ALKNew York Stock Exchange
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR 230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR 240.12b-2).

Emerging growth company

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.

This document is also available on our website at http://investor.alaskaair.com.



ITEM 2.02.  Results of Operations And Financial Condition

On April 20, 2023, Alaska Air Group, Inc. (Air Group) issued a press release reporting financial results for the first quarter of 2023.  The press release is furnished herein as Exhibit 99.1. Supplemental information is furnished herein as Exhibit 99.2.

ITEM 7.01.  Regulation FD Disclosure

Pursuant to 17 CFR Part 243 (Regulation FD), the Company is submitting information relating to its financial and operational outlook in an investor update. The investor update is furnished herein as Exhibit 99.1. Supplemental information is furnished herein as Exhibit 99.2

In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information under this item and Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the Exchange Act), nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing. This report will not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information required to be disclosed solely to satisfy the requirements of Regulation FD.

ITEM 9.01  Financial Statements and Other Exhibits
First Quarter 2023 Earnings Press Release dated April 20, 2023
Supplemental Earnings Materials
104Cover Page Interactive Data File - embedded within the Inline XBRL Document

Signatures
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.                                                                           
Registrant

Date: April 20, 2023

/s/ EMILY HALVERSON
Emily Halverson
Vice President Finance and Controller



Document

Exhibit 99.1
https://cdn.kscope.io/dab1a96c581e8e433231938d16facf30-alaskaairgrouplogob03.jpg

April 20, 2023
Media contact:Investor/analyst contact:
Media RelationsRyan St. John
(206) 304-0008VP Finance, Planning and Investor Relations
ALKInvestorRelations@alaskaair.com

Alaska Air Group reports first quarter 2023 results
Productivity improves 6% and pilot training throughput doubles over prior year;
Anticipate double-digit adjusted pre-tax margin in second quarter;
Reiterated full-year adjusted pre-tax margin guidance of 9% to 12%

SEATTLE — Alaska Air Group (NYSE: ALK) today reported financial results for the first quarter ending March 31, 2023, and provided outlook for the second quarter ending June 30, 2023.

“This quarter we returned to pre-pandemic levels of flying and our roadmap to profitable growth is on track,” said Alaska CEO Ben Minicucci. “As we progress through the year, we have taken deliberate steps to build momentum and we are well prepared for peak summer flying. Thank you to our 23,000 employees who are the backbone of our success – I’m proud of their work to deliver operational excellence and show care for the people who fly with us each day. We are well-positioned to deliver on our full-year financial targets, including a 9% to 12% adjusted pretax margin.”

Financial Highlights:
Reported net loss for the first quarter of 2023 under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) of $142 million, or $1.11 per share, compared to a net loss of $143 million, or $1.14 per share, for the first quarter of 2022.
Reported net loss for the first quarter of 2023, excluding special items and mark-to-market fuel hedge accounting adjustments, of $79 million, or $0.62 per share, compared to a net loss, excluding special items and mark-to-market fuel hedge accounting adjustments, of $167 million, or $1.33 per share, for the first quarter of 2022.
Resumed the share repurchase program, purchasing a total of 413,554 shares of common stock for approximately $18 million in the first quarter. The company continues to expect share repurchases of at least $100 million in 2023.
Held $2.4 billion in unrestricted cash and marketable securities as of March 31, 2023.
Ended the quarter with a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 48%, within the target range of 40% to 50%.

Operational Updates:
Ratified a two-year contract extension with more than 2,300 McGee Air Services employees represented by the IAM.
Received six 737-9 aircraft during the quarter, bringing the 737-9 fleet count to 43.
Activated new benefits for Alaska Visa Signature® cardholders, including priority boarding, lounge membership discounts, new ways to earn bonus miles and other perks. New benefits and program changes drove cash remuneration under the co-brand credit card agreement up 17% on a year-over-year basis.
Announced plans to elevate guests' regional flying experience with streaming-fast satellite Wi-Fi on E175 regional jets.
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Announced three new daily nonstop flights from San Diego to Washington, D.C., Tampa and Eugene, beginning service later in 2023.
Doubled pilot training throughput compared to the same period in 2022, aided by a 75% increase in qualified flight instructors and an investment in two 737 full-flight simulators. Three additional 737 full-flight simulator deliveries are expected later this year.
Began lobby transformation projects to provide guests a more seamless travel experience; expect to roll out new bag tag stations and bag drop technology in key airports throughout 2023 and 2024.
Created a virtual reality 737 flight deck, in partnership with VRPilot, to better prepare pilots for their training experience.

Environmental, Social and Governance Updates:
Announced an agreement with Shell Aviation to advance sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) technology and infrastructure throughout the West Coast; Shell Aviation will also supply Alaska with up to 10 million gallons of SAF in Los Angeles.
Launched a partnership with the Surfrider Foundation, an organization focused on protecting coastal habitats and reducing waste across the West Coast and throughout the Hawaiian Islands.

Awards and Recognition:
Alaska's Mileage Plan named Best Airline Rewards Program by NerdWallet for its customer-friendly policies, rewards and fee structures.
Alaska and Horizon earned the Diamond Award of Excellence from the Federal Aviation Administration, recognizing the airlines' aircraft technicians for their dedication to training.

The following table reconciles the company's reported GAAP net loss per share (EPS) for the three months ended March 31, 2023 and 2022 to adjusted amounts.
  Three Months Ended March 31,
  20232022
(in millions, except per-share amounts)DollarsDiluted EPSDollarsDiluted EPS
GAAP net loss per share$(142)$(1.11)$(143)$(1.14)
Mark-to-market fuel hedge adjustments20 0.16 (107)(0.85)
Special items - fleet transition and other(a)
13 0.10 75 0.60 
Special items - labor and related(b)
51 0.40 — — 
Income tax effect of reconciling items above(21)(0.17)0.06 
Non-GAAP adjusted net loss per share$(79)$(0.62)$(167)$(1.33)
(a) Special items - fleet transition and other in the three months ended March 31, 2023 and 2022 is primarily for impairment charges and accelerated costs associated with the retirement of Airbus and Q400 aircraft.
(b) Special items - labor and related in the three months ended March 31, 2023 is primarily for changes to Alaska pilots' sick leave benefits resulting from an agreement signed in the first quarter of 2023.

Statistical data, as well as a reconciliation of the reported non-GAAP financial measures, can be found in the accompanying tables. A glossary of financial terms can be found on the last page of this release.

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Alaska will hold its quarterly conference call to discuss first quarter results at 8:30 a.m. PDT on April 20, 2023. A webcast of the call is available to the public at www.alaskaair.com/investors. For those unable to listen to the live broadcast, a replay will be available after the call.
Second Quarter and Full Year 2023 Forecast Information
Q2 Expectation
Capacity (ASMs) % change versus 2022
Up 6% to 9%
Total revenue % change versus 2022
Up 2.5% to 5.5%
Cost per ASM excluding fuel and special items (CASMex) % change versus 2022
Up 1% to 3%
Economic fuel cost per gallon
$2.95 to $3.15
Adjusted pre-tax margin %
14% to 17%

Our second quarter guidance reflects the continuation of improving operational and financial performance trends that we experienced in March. For the full year, we continue to expect achievement of our previous guidance, including adjusted pre-tax margins of 9% to 12%, and earnings per share of $5.50 to $7.50. This guidance assumes a full year tax rate of approximately 25%.

References in this update to “Air Group,” “Company,” “we,” “us,” and “our” refer to Alaska Air Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries, unless otherwise specified.

This news release may contain forward-looking statements subject to the safe harbor protection provided by Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements relate to future events and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual outcomes to be materially different from those indicated by our forward-looking statements, assumptions or beliefs. For a comprehensive discussion of potential risk factors, see Item 1A of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022. Some of these risks include competition, labor costs, relations and availability, general economic conditions including those associated with pandemic recovery, increases in operating costs including fuel, inability to meet cost reduction, ESG and other strategic goals, seasonal fluctuations in demand and financial results, supply chain risks, events that negatively impact aviation safety and security, and changes in laws and regulations that impact our business. All of the forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to the risk factors discussed in our most recent Form 10-K and in our subsequent SEC filings. We operate in a continually changing business environment, and new risk factors emerge from time to time. Management cannot predict such new risk factors, nor can it assess the impact, if any, of such new risk factors on our business or events described in any forward-looking statements. We expressly disclaim any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements made today to conform them to actual results. Over time, our actual results, performance or achievements may differ from the anticipated results, performance or achievements that are expressed or implied by our forward-looking statements, assumptions or beliefs and such differences might be significant and materially adverse.

Alaska Airlines and our regional partners serve more than 120 destinations across the United States, Belize, Canada, Costa Rica and Mexico. We strive to be the most caring airline with award-winning customer service and an industry-leading loyalty program. As a member of the oneworld alliance, and with our additional global partners, our guests can travel to more than 1,000 destinations on more than 25 airlines while earning and redeeming miles on flights to locations around the world. Learn more about Alaska at news.alaskaair.com and follow @alaskaairnews for news and stories. Alaska Airlines and Horizon Air are subsidiaries of Alaska Air Group.
###
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CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (unaudited)
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
  Three Months Ended March 31,
(in millions, except per share amounts)20232022Change
Operating Revenue
Passenger revenue$1,984 $1,511 31 %
Mileage Plan other revenue154 112 38 %
Cargo and other revenue58 58 — %
Total Operating Revenue2,196 1,681 31 %
Operating Expenses
Wages and benefits723 606 19 %
Variable incentive pay47 36 31 %
Aircraft fuel, including hedging gains and losses665 347 92 %
Aircraft maintenance124 135 (8)%
Aircraft rent59 73 (19)%
Landing fees and other rentals152 138 10 %
Contracted services95 78 22 %
Selling expenses66 58 14 %
Depreciation and amortization104 102 %
Food and beverage service54 41 32 %
Third-party regional carrier expense52 42 24 %
Other177 152 16 %
Special items - fleet transition and other13 75 (83)%
Special items - labor and related51 — NM
Total Operating Expenses2,382 1,883 27 %
Operating Loss(186)(202)%
Non-operating Income (Expense)
Interest income17 143 %
Interest expense(28)(27)%
Interest capitalized7 NM
Other - net(9)14 (164)%
Total Non-operating Income (Expense)(13)(4)NM
Loss Before Income Tax(199)(206)
Income tax benefit(57)(63)
Net Loss$(142)$(143)
 
Basic Loss Per Share$(1.11)$(1.14)
Diluted Loss Per Share$(1.11)$(1.14)
Shares used for computation:
Basic127.501 125.984 
Diluted127.501 125.984 

4


CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (unaudited)
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
 
(in millions)March 31, 2023December 31, 2022
ASSETS
Current Assets
Cash and cash equivalents$516 $338 
Marketable securities1,913 2,079 
Total cash and marketable securities2,429 2,417 
Receivables - net340 296 
Inventories and supplies - net105 104 
Prepaid expenses181 163 
Other current assets44 60 
Total Current Assets3,099 3,040 
Property and Equipment
Aircraft and other flight equipment9,189 9,053 
Other property and equipment1,661 1,661 
Deposits for future flight equipment580 670 
11,430 11,384 
Less accumulated depreciation and amortization4,178 4,127 
Total Property and Equipment - net7,252 7,257 
Other Assets
Operating lease assets1,534 1,471 
Goodwill and intangible assets2,037 2,038 
Other noncurrent assets374 380 
Total Other Assets3,945 3,889 
Total Assets$14,296 $14,186 






















5


CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (unaudited)
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
(in millions, except share amounts)March 31, 2023December 31, 2022
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY  
Current Liabilities  
Accounts payable$206 $221 
Accrued wages, vacation and payroll taxes431 619 
Air traffic liability1,613 1,180 
Other accrued liabilities908 846 
Deferred revenue1,218 1,123 
Current portion of operating lease liabilities213 228 
Current portion of long-term debt268 276 
Total Current Liabilities4,857 4,493 
Long-Term Debt, Net of Current Portion1,795 1,883 
Noncurrent Liabilities  
Long-term operating lease liabilities, net of current portion1,455 1,393 
Deferred income taxes523 574 
Deferred revenue1,325 1,374 
Obligation for pension and post-retirement medical benefits355 348 
Other liabilities297 305 
Total Noncurrent Liabilities3,955 3,994 
Commitments and Contingencies
Shareholders' Equity  
Preferred stock, $0.01 par value, Authorized: 5,000,000 shares, none issued or outstanding
 — 
Common stock, $0.01 par value, Authorized: 400,000,000 shares, Issued: 2023 - 137,006,134 shares; 2022 - 136,883,042 shares, Outstanding: 2023 - 127,243,454 shares; 2022 - 127,533,916 shares
1 
Capital in excess of par value587 577 
Treasury stock (common), at cost: 2023 - 9,763,498 shares; 2022 - 9,349,944 shares
(692)(674)
Accumulated other comprehensive loss(365)(388)
Retained earnings4,158 4,300 
 3,689 3,816 
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity$14,296 $14,186 
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SUMMARY CASH FLOW (unaudited)
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Three Months Ended March 31,
(in millions)20232022
Cash Flows from Operating Activities:
Net loss$(142)$(143)
Non-cash reconciling items191 182 
Changes in working capital173 248 
Net cash provided by operating activities222 287 
Cash Flows from Investing Activities:
Property and equipment additions(124)(288)
Other investing activities184 327 
Net cash provided by investing activities60 39 
Cash Flows from Financing Activities:(114)(168)
Net increase in cash and cash equivalents168 $158 
Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at beginning of period369 494 
Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at end of the period$537 $652 
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OPERATING STATISTICS SUMMARY (unaudited)
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Three Months Ended March 31,
20232022Change
Consolidated Operating Statistics:(a)
Revenue passengers (000)9,8528,69413%
RPMs (000,000) "traffic"12,55410,58619%
ASMs (000,000) "capacity"15,70513,78314%
Load factor79.9%76.8%3.1 pts
Yield15.80¢14.27¢11%
RASM13.98¢12.20¢15%
CASMex(b)
10.53¢10.61¢(1)%
Economic fuel cost per gallon(b)
$3.41$2.6230%
Fuel gallons (000,000)1891739%
ASMs per gallon83.179.94%
Departures (000)95.493.22%
Average full-time equivalent employees (FTEs)22,97821,5826%
Mainline Operating Statistics:
Revenue passengers (000)7,8336,56619%
RPMs (000,000) "traffic"11,6699,51223%
ASMs (000,000) "capacity"14,61012,38718%
Load factor79.9%76.8%3.1 pts
Yield14.48¢13.06¢11%
RASM12.94¢11.30¢15%
CASMex(b)
9.52¢9.64¢(1)%
Economic fuel cost per gallon(b)
$3.39$2.6130%
Fuel gallons (000,000)16614614%
ASMs per gallon88.085.04%
Departures (000)62.655.812%
Average full-time equivalent employees (FTEs)17,78516,3369%
Aircraft utilization11.19.517%
Average aircraft stage length1,3661,3342%
Operating fleet(d)
219225(6) a/c
Regional Operating Statistics:(c)
Revenue passengers (000)2,0192,128(5)%
RPMs (000,000) "traffic"8851,075(18)%
ASMs (000,000) "capacity"1,0951,396(22)%
Load factor80.8%77.0%3.8 pts
Yield33.19¢24.96¢33%
RASM27.82¢20.04¢39%
Departures (000)32.837.4(12)%
Operating fleet(d)
7598(23) a/c
(a)Except for FTEs, data includes information related to third-party regional capacity purchase flying arrangements.
(b)See a reconciliation of this non-GAAP measure and Note A for a discussion of the importance of this measure to investors in the accompanying pages.
(c)Data presented includes information for flights operated by Horizon and third-party carriers.
(d)Excludes all aircraft removed from operating service.


8


OPERATING SEGMENTS (unaudited)
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Three Months Ended March 31, 2023
(in millions)MainlineRegionalHorizon
Consolidating & Other(a)
Air Group Adjusted(b)
Special Items(c)
Consolidated
Operating Revenue   
Passenger revenue$1,690 $294 $— $— $1,984 $— $1,984 
CPA revenue— — 78 (78)— — — 
Mileage Plan other revenue143 11 — — 154 — 154 
Cargo and other revenue57 — — 58 — 58 
Total Operating Revenue1,890 305 78 (77)2,196 — 2,196 
Operating Expenses
Operating expenses, excluding fuel1,390 256 84 (77)1,653 64 1,717 
Fuel expense561 85 — (1)645 20 665 
Total Operating Expenses1,951 341 84 (78)2,298 84 2,382 
Non-operating Income (Expense)(6)— (8)(13)— (13)
Income (Loss) Before Income Tax$(67)$(36)$(14)$$(115)$(84)$(199)
Pretax Margin(5.2)%(9.1)%
Three Months Ended March 31, 2022
(in millions)MainlineRegionalHorizon
Consolidating & Other(a)
Air Group Adjusted(b)
Special Items(c)
Consolidated
Operating Revenue
Passenger revenue$1,243 $268 $— $— $1,511 $— $1,511 
CPA revenue— — 94 (94)— — — 
Mileage Plan other revenue100 12 — — 112 — 112 
Cargo and other revenue57 — — 58 — 58 
Total Operating Revenue1,400 280 94 (93)1,681 — 1,681 
Operating Expenses
Operating expenses, excluding fuel1,194 262 99 (94)1,461 75 1,536 
Fuel expense381 73 — — 454 (107)347 
Total Operating Expenses1,575 335 99 (94)1,915 (32)1,883 
Non-operating Income (Expense)— (5)— (4)— (4)
Income (Loss) Before Income Tax$(174)$(55)$(10)$$(238)$32 $(206)
Pretax Margin(14.2)%(12.3)%
(a)Includes consolidating entries, Air Group parent company, McGee Air Services, and other immaterial business units.
(b)The Air Group Adjusted column represents the financial information that is reviewed by management to assess performance of operations and determine capital allocation and excludes certain charges. See Note A in the accompanying pages for further information.
(c)Includes special items and mark-to-market fuel hedge accounting adjustments.

9


GAAP TO NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS (unaudited)
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
CASM Excluding Fuel and Special Items Reconciliation
 Three Months Ended March 31,
(in cents)20232022
Consolidated:
CASM15.17 ¢13.66 ¢
Less the following components:
Aircraft fuel, including hedging gains and losses4.24 2.51 
Special items - fleet transition and other(a)
0.08 0.54 
Special items - labor and related(b)
0.32 — 
CASM excluding fuel and special items10.53 ¢10.61 ¢
Mainline:
CASM13.93 ¢11.89 ¢
Less the following components:
Aircraft fuel, including hedging gains and losses3.97 2.21 
Special items - fleet transition and other(a)
0.09 0.04 
Special items - labor and related(b)
0.35 — 
CASM excluding fuel and special items9.52 ¢9.64 ¢
(a) Special items - fleet transition and other in the three months ended March 31, 2023 and 2022 is primarily for impairment charges and accelerated costs associated with the retirement of Airbus and Q400 aircraft.
(b) Special items - labor and related in the three months ended March 31, 2023 is primarily for changes to Alaska pilots' sick leave benefits resulting from an agreement signed in the first quarter of 2023.

Fuel Reconciliation
Three Months Ended March 31,
20232022
(in millions, except for per-gallon amounts)DollarsCost/GallonDollarsCost/Gallon
Raw or "into-plane" fuel cost$633 $3.35 $504 $2.91 
Losses (gains) on settled hedges12 0.06 (50)(0.29)
Consolidated economic fuel expense645 3.41 454 2.62 
Mark-to-market fuel hedge adjustment20 0.11 (107)(0.62)
GAAP fuel expense$665 $3.52 $347 $2.00 
Fuel gallons189 173 

Debt-to-capitalization, including operating leases
(in millions)March 31, 2023December 31, 2022
Long-term debt, net of current portion$1,795 $1,883 
Capitalized operating leases1,668 1,621 
Adjusted debt, net of current portion of long-term debt3,463 3,504 
Shareholders' equity3,689 3,816 
Total Invested Capital$7,152 $7,320 
Debt-to-capitalization ratio, including operating leases48 %48 %

10


Adjusted net debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, rent and special items
(in millions)March 31, 2023December 31, 2022
Current portion of long-term debt$268 $276 
Current portion of operating lease liabilities213 228 
Long-term debt1,795 1,883 
Long-term operating lease liabilities, net of current portion1,455 1,393 
Total adjusted debt3,731 3,780 
Less: Total cash and marketable securities(2,429)(2,417)
Adjusted net debt$1,302 $1,363 
(in millions)Twelve Months Ended March 31, 2023Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2022
GAAP Operating Income(a)
$86 $70 
Adjusted for:
Special items569 580 
Mark-to-market fuel hedge adjustments203 76 
Depreciation and amortization417 415 
Aircraft rent277 291 
EBITDAR$1,552 $1,432 
Adjusted net debt to EBITDAR0.8x1.0x
(a)Operating income can be reconciled using the trailing twelve month operating income as filed quarterly with the SEC.

11



Note A: Pursuant to Regulation G, we are providing reconciliations of reported non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable financial measures reported on a GAAP basis. We believe that consideration of these non-GAAP financial measures may be important to investors for the following reasons:

By excluding fuel expense and special items from our unit metrics, we believe that we have better visibility into the results of operations. Our industry is highly competitive and is characterized by high fixed costs, so even a small reduction in non-fuel operating costs can result in a significant improvement in operating results. In addition, we believe that all domestic carriers are similarly impacted by changes in jet fuel costs over the long run, so it is important for management (and thus investors) to understand the impact of (and trends in) company-specific cost drivers such as labor rates and productivity, airport costs, maintenance costs, etc., which are more controllable by management.

Cost per ASM (CASM) excluding fuel and special items, is one of the most important measures used by management and by the Air Group Board of Directors in assessing quarterly and annual cost performance.

CASM excluding fuel and special items is a measure commonly used by industry analysts, and we believe it is the basis by which they have historically compared our airline to others in the industry. The measure is also the subject of frequent questions from investors.

Adjusted income before income tax (and other items as specified in our plan documents) is an important metric for the employee incentive plan, which covers the majority of Air Group employees.

Disclosure of the individual impact of certain noted items provides investors the ability to measure and monitor performance both with and without these special items. We believe that disclosing the impact of these items as noted above is important because it provides information on significant items that are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Industry analysts and investors consistently measure our performance without these items for better comparability between periods and among other airlines.

Although we disclose our unit revenue, we do not, nor are we able to, evaluate unit revenue excluding the impact that changes in fuel costs have had on ticket prices. Fuel expense represents a large percentage of our total operating expenses. Fluctuations in fuel prices often drive changes in unit revenue in the mid-to-long term. Although we believe it is useful to evaluate non-fuel unit costs for the reasons noted above, we would caution readers of these financial statements not to place undue reliance on unit costs excluding fuel as a measure or predictor of future profitability because of the significant impact of fuel costs on our business.
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GLOSSARY OF TERMS

Adjusted net debt - long-term debt, including current portion, plus capitalized operating leases, less cash and marketable securities

Adjusted net debt to EBITDAR - represents net adjusted debt divided by EBITDAR (trailing twelve months earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, special items and rent)

Aircraft Utilization - block hours per day; this represents the average number of hours per day our aircraft are in transit

Aircraft Stage Length - represents the average miles flown per aircraft departure

ASMs - available seat miles, or “capacity”; represents total seats available across the fleet multiplied by the number of miles flown

CASM - operating costs per ASM, or "unit cost"; represents all operating expenses including fuel and special items

CASMex - operating costs excluding fuel and special items per ASM; this metric is used to help track progress toward reduction of non-fuel operating costs since fuel is largely out of our control

Debt-to-capitalization ratio - represents adjusted debt (long-term debt plus capitalized operating lease liabilities) divided by total equity plus adjusted debt

Diluted Earnings per Share - represents earnings per share (EPS) using fully diluted shares outstanding

Diluted Shares - represents the total number of shares that would be outstanding if all possible sources of conversion, such as stock options, were exercised

Economic Fuel - best estimate of the cash cost of fuel, net of the impact of our fuel-hedging program

Load Factor - RPMs as a percentage of ASMs; represents the number of available seats that were filled with paying passengers

Mainline - represents flying Boeing 737, Airbus A320, and Airbus A321neo jets and all associated revenue and costs

Productivity - number of revenue passengers per full-time equivalent employee

RASM - operating revenue per ASMs, or "unit revenue"; operating revenue includes all passenger revenue, freight & mail, Mileage Plan and other ancillary revenue; represents the average total revenue for flying one seat one mile

Regional - represents capacity purchased by Alaska from Horizon and SkyWest. In this segment, Regional records actual on-board passenger revenue, less costs such as fuel, distribution costs, and payments made to Horizon and SkyWest under the respective capacity purchased arrangement (CPAs). Additionally, Regional includes an allocation of corporate overhead such as IT, finance, other administrative costs incurred by Alaska and on behalf of Horizon.

RPMs - revenue passenger miles, or "traffic"; represents the number of seats that were filled with paying passengers; one passenger traveling one mile is one RPM

Yield - passenger revenue per RPM; represents the average revenue for flying one passenger one mile

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alksupplementalinfo1q23
ALASKA AIR GROUP Q1 2023 Earnings


 
Safe Harbor This presentation may contain forward-looking statements subject to the safe harbor protection provided by Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements relate to future events and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual outcomes to be materially different from those indicated by our forward-looking statements, assumptions or beliefs. For a comprehensive discussion of potential risk factors, see Item 1A of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022. Some of these risks include competition, labor costs, relations and availability, general economic conditions including those associated with pandemic recovery, increases in operating costs including fuel, inability to meet cost reduction, ESG and other strategic goals, seasonal fluctuations in demand and financial results, supply chain risks, events that negatively impact aviation safety and security, and changes in laws and regulations that impact our business. All of the forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to the risk factors discussed in our most recent Form 10-K and in our subsequent SEC filings. We operate in a continually changing business environment, and new risk factors emerge from time to time. Management cannot predict such new risk factors, nor can it assess the impact, if any, of such new risk factors on our business or events described in any forward- looking statements. We expressly disclaim any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements made today to conform them to actual results. Over time, our actual results, performance or achievements may differ from the anticipated results, performance or achievements that are expressed or implied by our forward-looking statements, assumptions or beliefs and such differences might be significant and materially adverse. 2 Non-GAAP Financial Information The Company has made reference in this presentation to financial metrics which are not in accordance with GAAP. Pursuant to Regulation G, we have provided reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable financial measures reported on a GAAP basis within the First Quarter 2023 Earnings Release filed concurrently with this presentation. Prior year non-GAAP financial metrics have been reconciled in previous SEC filings, and can be referenced therein.


 
Earnings Update  In this update we provide certain 2023 metrics compared to 2022 and 2019 to help illustrate trends we are experiencing and the forward-looking guidance we have provided  In the first quarter, Air Group restored capacity to pre-pandemic levels, driven by improved aircraft utilization and upgauging, which will continue to drive efficient growth throughout 2023  Versus 2019, positive unit revenue progression in the first quarter signals momentum heading into the second quarter, which is typically a more robust period of demand than the first quarter  Unit costs are expected to be approximately flat in the first half of 2023 compared to 2022, before improving in the second half of 2023 as productivity improves and labor deals are lapped Our balance sheet remains strong, with debt-to-capitalization and net debt/EBITDAR ratios within long-term financial target ranges


 
Capacity Capacity (Absolute ASMs)  Historically, Q1 capacity declines sequentially from Q4. But Q1 2023 capacity increased sequentially, given the restoration of our network and rebuild to pre-pandemic levels of flying  The sequential increase in capacity from Q4 to Q1 was enabled by aircraft upgauge and a 14% increase in utilization  Rest of year quarterly capacity trends are expected to more closely follow historical sequential patterns  We expect full year capacity to increase 8% to 10% compared to 2022 2023 Trends Chart not to scale Returned to 2019 capacity


 
Unit Revenue 2023 RASM % Change (vs 2019)  Given unique factors impacted 2022 unit revenue performance (including Omicron and a rapid resurgence in travel demand), comparing 2023 to 2019 provides a clear view of sequential unit revenue progression  We experienced sequential improvements in unit revenues throughout Q1 2023 when compared to 2019; this trend is expected to continue through the second quarter 2023 Trends +14% Chart not to scale


 
Unit Revenue 2023 Capacity & RASM (vs 2022)  We expect second quarter capacity to be up 6% to 9% vs 2022, and total revenue to be up 2.5% to 5.5%  Implied unit revenue trends are distorted by unique factors in the 2022 base year (Omicron, rapid travel demand resurgence)  Unit revenues are expected to decelerate modestly vs 2022 in the second half of the year as capacity increases, in line with flat full year RASM expectation 2023 Trends +14% 15% +6% to 9% ~(3.5%) 1Q23 2Q23 3Q23 4Q23 Chart not to scale


 
Unit Cost 2023 Capacity & CASMex (vs 2022)  First and second quarter unit cost performance versus 2022 reflects headwinds from labor deals that were implemented late in 2022, a new power by the hour engine agreement in 2023, and higher variable performance-based pay, offset partially by tailwinds from lease return costs recorded in early 2022  Second half 2023 unit costs are set to improve as we complete pilot transition training and lap the impact of labor agreements  We expect full year 2023 unit costs to be down 1% to 3% vs 2022 2023 Trends +14% (1%) +6% to 9% +1% to 3% 1Q23 2Q23 3Q23 4Q23 Chart not to scale


 
Balance Sheet Debt-to-Capitalization Adjusted Net Debt/EBITDAR Target Debt-to-Cap Range 40% - 50% Target Adj. Net Debt/EBITDAR < 1.5x